{"id":6935,"date":"2024-04-02T09:18:46","date_gmt":"2024-04-02T01:18:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/?p=6935"},"modified":"2024-04-02T09:18:46","modified_gmt":"2024-04-02T01:18:46","slug":"%e9%a9%ac%e6%96%af%e5%85%8b%e7%a7%b0%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e6%af%81%e7%81%ad%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7%e4%b8%ba-20%ef%bc%8c%e4%bd%86%e4%bb%8d%e5%80%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/6935.html","title":{"rendered":"Musk says the chances of AI destroying humanity are 20%, but it&#039;s still worth the risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-vmark=\"5031\">Elon<a href=\"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/tag\/%e9%a9%ac%e6%96%af%e5%85%8b\" title=\"[View articles tagged with [Musk]]\" target=\"_blank\" >Musk<\/a> (Elon Musk) at the Abundance Summit held earlier<a href=\"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/tag\/%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd\" title=\"[View articles tagged with [artificial intelligence]]\" target=\"_blank\" >AI<\/a>The &quot;Debate&quot; seminar stated that even if there is a 1\/5 chance that artificial intelligence technology will pose a threat to humans, its benefits outweigh its disadvantages, and it is still worth taking the risk to research and develop it.<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"92f4\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6936\" title=\"a4bcef54-de8c-4357-ba48-188bbaaffce5\" src=\"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/a4bcef54-de8c-4357-ba48-188bbaaffce5.jpg\" alt=\"a4bcef54-de8c-4357-ba48-188bbaaffce5\" width=\"1088\" height=\"612\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"0bc1\">Musk reassessed his previous risk assessment of artificial intelligence, saying at the seminar: &quot;I think artificial intelligence has the potential to end human civilization. I may agree with Geoffrey Hinton.<span class=\"accentTextColor\">The probability is about 10% to 20%.<\/span>But he added: &quot;I think the positive scenario is more likely than the negative scenario.&quot; Musk did not say how he calculated the risk.<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"f7c9\">Last November, Musk said there was a &quot;non-zero&quot; chance that the technology could get out of control, but at the time he stopped short of asserting that out-of-control artificial intelligence would destroy humanity.<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"fcd3\">Although Musk has long advocated for regulating artificial intelligence, last year he founded a company called <a href=\"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/tag\/xai\" title=\"[View articles tagged with [xAI]]\" target=\"_blank\" >xA<\/a> xAI is a competitor to OpenAI, a company Musk co-founded with Sam Altman, but Musk resigned from the OpenAI board in 2018.<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"0512\">At the summit, Musk estimated that digital intelligence will exceed all human intelligence combined by 2030. While he still insisted that the potential positives outweigh the negatives, Musk acknowledged in some of the most direct terms he has ever used in public the risks that AI poses to the world if it continues on its current trajectory.<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"de1f\">\u201cYou raise an AI, it\u2019s almost like raising a child, but it\u2019s a super genius, a god-like child \u2014 and the way you raise it is critical,\u201d Musk said of artificial general intelligence at a Silicon Valley event on March 19. \u201cI think one of the things that\u2019s really important for AI safety is to make it as truth-seeking and curious as possible.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"cc83\">Musk said his &quot;ultimate conclusion&quot; about the best way to achieve AI safety is to let the AI grow in a way that forces it to be honest.<\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"f983\">\u201cDon\u2019t force it to lie, even if the truth is unpleasant,\u201d Musk said of ways to make AI safe.<span class=\"accentTextColor\">\u00a0&quot;This is so important. Don&#039;t let it lie.&quot;<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-vmark=\"6545\">According to The Independent, researchers found that once an AI learns to lie to humans, it is impossible to reverse the deception using current AI safety measures. Even more disturbing, the researchers added that it is possible for the AI to learn to deceive on its own, rather than being specifically taught to lie.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Elon Musk said at an earlier Abondance Summit \"Agent Intelligence Debate\" that even if artificial intelligence technology has a one-fifth chance of posing a threat to humans, its benefits outweigh its disadvantages, and it is worth risking research and development. Mask re-evaluated his earlier risk assessment of artificial intelligence, and he said at the seminar: \u201cI think artificial intelligence could end human civilization. I may agree with Geoffrey Hinton that the probability is approximately 10% to 20%.\" But he added: \u201cI think the positive scenario is bigger than the negative scenario.\u201d Mask did not mention how he calculated the risk. Last November<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[146],"tags":[356,204,355],"collection":[],"class_list":["post-6935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-xai","tag-204","tag-355"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6935","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6935"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6935\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6935"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6935"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6935"},{"taxonomy":"collection","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.1ai.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/collection?post=6935"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}