On May 9th, according to the newspaper StanfordAnthropic Daniela Amodei, co-founder and president of the University of Stanford Business School, said yesterday in a series of lectures on "View From The Top" AI Concerns about shocks to the job market are clearly exaggerated。
According to Daniela, according to Anthropic's economic indicators, the current pattern of AI is closer to "skill complementarities" than "job substitution". She noted that AI was changing the nature of the work rather than simply eliminating the work itself, and that the area of customer service was one of the few industries where there was a clear substitution effect。
IN THE CASE OF SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT, SHE PREDICTED THAT THE PROFESSION OF ENGINEER WOULD NOT DISAPPEAR, BUT THE FOCUS WOULD SHIFT FROM CODE-WRITING TO COMMUNICATION WITH PRODUCT MANAGERS, CLIENTS, THAT IS, THOSE PARTS OF AI THAT WERE NOT VERY GOOD AT HANDLING。
Daniela also introduced the concept of "diversion of comparative advantage". In her view, in the future of AI, where more productive day-to-day work can be carried out, the advantage of humanity will be in favour of common sense, social judgement and interpersonal communication. She cited the medical profession as an example:
AI MAY BE ABLE TO OUTPACE A DOCTOR IN TERMS OF DIAGNOSIS, BUT THE CLINICAL EFFECT OF THE TEMPERATURE OF BEDSIDE CARE ON THE PATIENT'S TRUST IS THAT AI CANNOT REPLICATE。