Anthropic Chief Economist: AI will not replace a lot of jobs in the short term

On July 24th, the news was thatAnthropic According to Peter McCroll, the chief economist, for the time beingAINot yet replaced by a large numberWorkThe position is that compared to the total substitution of human beingsAI Working with humanity is better. Mark Cuban, the billionaire of America, believes that this may never change。

Anthropic Chief Economist: AI will not replace a lot of jobs in the short term

ON WEDNESDAY, MCRORY WROTE ON PLATFORM X THAT, ACCORDING TO CURRENT INFORMATION, “ADVANCED INTELLIGENCE HAS NOT SO FAR LED TO A SIGNIFICANT RISE IN UNEMPLOYMENT”, EVEN IN OCCUPATIONS MOST VULNERABLE TO AI AUTOMATION。

As head of the economics of the artificial intelligence company Anthropic, Claude Fable 5, one of the top-level language models, McRory states that AI currently displays the characteristics of “skilling” and “empowerment”, that is to say, the more professionally capable people can perform the value of AI, which is more helping people to work more efficiently than replacing them。

He noted that AI was still unable to do its work independently in many areas. Claude, for example, is currently unable to perform tasks that often require people-to-people coordination and cooperation, face-to-face communication or interaction with the real physical world, and which are still only human。

HOWEVER, MCRORY ALSO WARNS THAT AS THE AI MODEL PROGRESSES, THE IMPORTANCE OF HUMAN EXPERTISE MAY DIMINISH. HOWEVER, HE EXPECTS THAT, AT LEAST IN THE COMING YEAR, AI WILL NOT HAVE A SUBSTANTIAL IMPACT ON THE OVERALL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE。

In response to a post by Aaron Levie, Chief Executive Officer of Box, and commenting on McClory, a tech entrepreneur, Mark Kuban, a former investor in Shark Tank, also presented his views on platform X。

ACCORDING TO KUBAN, AT LEAST TWO ASPECTS OF HUMANITY STILL CLEARLY PREVAIL OVER AI。

“AI MODELS DO NOT KNOW THE CONSEQUENCES OF THEIR ACTIONS, AND PEOPLE KNOW WHAT CAUSES THEM TO LOSE THEIR JOBS.” HE SAID, “THE AI MODEL HAS BEEN DELAYED IN OBTAINING INFORMATION, AND HUMANS CAN UNDERSTAND WHAT IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW.”

ACCORDING TO KUBAN, THESE TWO CAPABILITIES “AI WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE FOR A LONG, LONG, LONG TIME AND MAY NEVER BE AVAILABLE”。

He pointed out that these capabilities were “critical to every business decision taken by the enterprise”, especially in terms of judging the atmosphere on the ground and conceiving the reaction of others, that is to say, “read the scene”。

“THE VALUE OF BOTH CAN BE MAXIMIZED IF THE PRODUCTIVITY GENERATED BY AI IS COMBINED WITH HUMAN REAL-TIME JUDGEMENT AND DECISION-MAKING CAPABILITIES.” KUBAN WROTE。

He also indicated that business managers needed to reflect on how to fully exploit the advantages of such “human collaboration”, as it would not only promote enterprise development but would also be an important competitive advantage。

DURING THE INTERNET BUBBLE, KUBAN SOLD ITS OWN NETWORK BROADCASTER TO YAHOO AT A PRICE OF NEARLY $6 BILLION (NOTE: THE CURRENT EXCHANGE RATE IS APPROXIMATELY RMB 40,689 MILLION). IN THE RECENT PAST, HE HAD WARNED THAT, AS ENERGY EFFICIENCY CONTINUED TO IMPROVE, THE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL INDUSTRIES WERE NOW BUILDING UP THEIR INFRASTRUCTURE IN SUCH A WAY THAT THE FUTURE MIGHT LEAD TO OVERCALCULATIONS. HE EVEN ARGUED THAT THE DATA CENTRES THAT HAD BEEN PHASED OUT MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE TRANSFORMED INTO “PIC FIELDS”。

DESPITE THIS, KUBAN HAS REPEATEDLY STRESSED THAT BUSINESSES MUST ACTIVELY EMBRACE AI OR LOSE THEIR COMPETITIVENESS. HE SAID IN A UNIVERSITY EVENT LAST FEBRUARY: “THERE ARE ONLY TWO TYPES OF COMPANIES LEFT IN THE FUTURE: ONE THAT IS GOOD AT USING AI AND THE OTHER THAT WILL BE ELIMINATED.”

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