A few days ago,Nobel prizewinner (in a competition) Geoffrey Hinton An interview with CBS, in which he talks freely about his views of the AI technology expectations, but also warns of the need to be wary of human attitudes toward AI.
Hinton believes that AI is developing much faster than he expected, emphasizing AI Agents, which he believes are more dangerous than simple chatting AI robots because of their ability to interact with real-world content. As for when AGI will arrive, Hinton changed his previous prediction of "5-20 years" and shortened it to "10 years or even less".
Although there are many concerns, Hinton still believes that AI can bring many benefits to mankind: the improvement of medical technology, family doctors become possible; the rapid improvement of the efficiency of education, personal learning speed greatly accelerated; for the climate problem can be solved more efficiently and favorably; through the AI analysis of data, thus promoting all walks of life to improve productivity and efficiency.
Finally, Hinton also warns again that if AI is allowed to develop wildly, it will lead to unpredictable and tragic consequences, Hinton says pessimistically:"Artificial Intelligence may eventually overtake human control, and humans will be at 10%-20% risk of having control of decision-making taken away from them by AI."He emphasized that the reason why people don't realize it now is because they haven't understood clearly the changes that are coming.